Vipers 2-0 Mbarara City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
78%
+2.8pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.2pp
5%
Away Win
7%
-1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.87/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.77
-20% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +14%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Mbarara City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Vipers Vipers 1-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
29.10.2024 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-3 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
05.04.2022 Vipers Vipers 2-0 HT 1-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
19.11.2021 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
2-0
AWAY Mbarara City
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Mbarara City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers saw off Mbarara City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Vipers had 62% of the ball to Mbarara City's 38%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vipers and 0.50 for Mbarara City.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Mbarara City?

Vipers 2-0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Mbarara City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Vipers 80%, draw 15%, Mbarara City 5%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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