Kampala City vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kampala City v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
Kampala City vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Kampala City
UGA
3-1
HT 2-1
Uganda Police
UGA
Kampala City 2-1 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City nicked a narrow win over Uganda Police 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Kampala City had 69% of the ball to Uganda Police's 31%, shots finished 24-6.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kampala City and 0.67 for Uganda Police.
What was the final score of Kampala City vs Uganda Police?
Kampala City 2-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 56%, draw 26%, Uganda Police 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while BTTS No went the other way.