BUL 4-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Apr 2025

BUL
4-0 HT 1-0
Lugazi Municipal
📅29/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

BUL vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BUL v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.19/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.58
-35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

BUL vs Lugazi Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.01.2025 Lugazi Municipal 1-2 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA

BUL 4-0 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
4-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL swept aside Lugazi Municipal 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, BUL had 46% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 54%, shots finished 23-8.

What was the final score of BUL vs Lugazi Municipal?

BUL 4-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split BUL 63%, draw 23%, Lugazi Municipal 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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