Vipers vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vipers v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
Vipers vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Vipers
UGA
7-2
HT 6-0
UPDF
UGA
Vipers 1-0 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics
Vipers edged past UPDF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vipers had 61% of the ball to UPDF's 39%, shots finished 14-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Vipers and 1.00 for UPDF.
What was the final score of Vipers vs UPDF?
Vipers 1-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vipers vs UPDF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vipers 57%, draw 27%, UPDF 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.