Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Feb 2024

Dagenham & Redbridge
1-2 HT 0-1
Chesterfield
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.68
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.0
X/1
8%
8.81
X/2
17%
4.0
X/X
14%
5.15
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.24
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 1/X at 15.0 — our 9% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dagenham & Redbridge v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.23/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.11
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
10.04.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
04.10.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-3 HT 0-3 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
05.02.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
30.10.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
22.05.2021 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-2
AWAY Chesterfield
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield squeezed past Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 36% of the ball to Chesterfield's 64%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 2.00 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesterfield?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 26%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ BTTS Yes
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