Harrow Borough 2-0 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrow Borough EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 58%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.74/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.62
+49% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +79%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrow Borough
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.03.2023 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough 0-2 HT 0-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
26.10.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-3 HT 0-2 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 3-1 HT 1-0 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough İNGNLP
26.10.2021 Harrow Borough Harrow Borough 1-0 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrow Borough
2-0
AWAY Gosport Borough
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Harrow Borough vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrow Borough beat Gosport Borough 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gosport Borough at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrow Borough had 45% of the ball to Gosport Borough's 55%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Harrow Borough and 1.50 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Harrow Borough vs Gosport Borough?

Harrow Borough 2-0 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrow Borough vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Harrow Borough 25%, draw 21%, Gosport Borough 54%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
6 Feb 2024
22:45 Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town Analysis →
22:45 Chesham United vs Merthyr Town Analysis →
22:45 Hanwell Town vs Dorchester Town Analysis →
22:45 Winchester City vs Swindon Supermarine Analysis →
22:45 Royston Town vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
22:45 Potters Bar Town vs Carshalton Athletic Analysis →