Winchester City 2-2 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Feb 2024

Winchester City
2-2 HT 0-1
Swindon Supermarine
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Winchester City vs Swindon Supermarine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.7pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.7pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Winchester City v Swindon Supermarine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.14/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.89
-32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Winchester City vs Swindon Supermarine Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 1-6 HT 1-3 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 0-5 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine FAK
22.10.2022 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-2 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP

Winchester City 2-2 Swindon Supermarine — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winchester City
2-2
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City and Swindon Supermarine couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Winchester City had 46% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 54%, shots finished 23-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Swindon Supermarine led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Winchester City and 4.00 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Swindon Supermarine?

Winchester City 2-2 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 38%, draw 30%, Swindon Supermarine 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Winchester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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