Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 2-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-2
HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 43% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 57%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.09 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 0.83 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 35%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar), Over 2.5 went the other way.