Pachuca 1-2 Leon — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 6 Feb 2025

Pachuca LWWWD→
1 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Leon LWWWW→
📅06/02/2025 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 3-2 · 4-1 — 6% together
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Pachuca vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:05
Match Result
Home
50%
1.93
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.57
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.07
6+
6%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Pachuca v Leon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pachuca The Market 52%
Signal
AWAY Leon The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.82 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Pachuca vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
293 Passes 321
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.07.2024 Leon Leon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
08.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 1-2 Leon Leon MEK
11.07.2023 Leon Leon 4-0 HT 3-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.02.2023 Leon Leon 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
22.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 1-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
23.01.2022 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK

Pachuca 1-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1 - 2
AWAY Leon
1.87 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
376 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Pachuca vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leon found just enough to beat Pachuca 2-1 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We leaned Pachuca at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, Pachuca had 54% of the ball to Leon's 46%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.87 to 1.69.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Leon.

Pachuca vs Leon Result & Final Score

Pachuca 1 - 2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pachuca vs Leon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 50%, draw 27%, Leon 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →