Leon 0-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Jul 2024

Leon
0-0 HT 0-0
Pachuca
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leon EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.35/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.25
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.8 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
326 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 1-2 Leon Leon MEK
11.07.2023 Leon Leon 4-0 HT 3-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.02.2023 Leon Leon 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
22.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 1-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
23.01.2022 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
25.07.2021 Pachuca Pachuca 4-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
0-0
AWAY Pachuca
0.25 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
331 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leon vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leon and Pachuca played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leon had 58% of the ball to Pachuca's 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.25 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leon and 1.67 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Leon vs Pachuca?

Leon 0-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leon vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leon 34%, draw 29%, Pachuca 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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