Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Puebla
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
Necaxa 4-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa cruised past Puebla 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Necaxa had 46% of the ball to Puebla's 54%, shots finished 24-17, expected goals 2.47 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Necaxa and 1.17 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Puebla?
Necaxa 4-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 45%, draw 28%, Puebla 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.