Necaxa 4-1 Puebla — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 17:05
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.03
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.02
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
26%
3.1
6+
8%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Necaxa The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Puebla The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puebla
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
09.10.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 0-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
15.04.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
17.08.2022 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
23.04.2022 Puebla Puebla 0-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
16.10.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
4 - 1
AWAY Puebla
2.47 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Necaxa vs Puebla
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Necaxa made light work of Puebla 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Necaxa had 46% of the ball to Puebla's 54%, shots finished 24-17, expected goals 2.47 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Necaxa and 1.17 for Puebla.

Necaxa vs Puebla Result & Final Score

Necaxa 4 - 1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 48%, draw 26%, Puebla 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Necaxa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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