Arnavutköy Belediye vs Belediye Derincespor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arnavutköy Belediye v Belediye Derincespor — Team-Based Signals
Arnavutköy Belediye vs Belediye Derincespor Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Arnavutköy Belediye
S2-K
2-2
HT 2-2
Belediye Derincespor
S3-1
Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 Belediye Derincespor — Actual Match Statistics
Arnavutköy Belediye squeezed past Belediye Derincespor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Belediye Derincespor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 49% of the ball to Belediye Derincespor's 51%, shots finished 11-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arnavutköy Belediye and 1.50 for Belediye Derincespor.
What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Belediye Derincespor?
Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 Belediye Derincespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Belediye Derincespor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Belediye Derincespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 31%, draw 26%, Belediye Derincespor 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.