Iğdır Futbol Kulübü 1-3 Denizlispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır Futbol Kulübü EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.04/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.53
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır Futbol Kulübü
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Denizlispor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
22.10.2023 Denizlispor Denizlispor 0-2 HT 0-1 Iğdır Futbol Kulübü S2-K
POST-MATCH Iğdır Futbol Kulübü vs Denizlispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizlispor beat Iğdır Futbol Kulübü 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Iğdır Futbol Kulübü at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Iğdır Futbol Kulübü vs Denizlispor?

Iğdır Futbol Kulübü 1-3 Denizlispor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır Futbol Kulübü vs Denizlispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır Futbol Kulübü win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Iğdır Futbol Kulübü 62%, draw 21%, Denizlispor 17%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Iğdır Futbol Kulübü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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