GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 Sarıyer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
20%
2.88
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
No
69%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
20%
Draw
31%
-11.3pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.97/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.73
+48% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sarıyer
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Sarıyer Sarıyer 1-1 HT 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1-0
AWAY Sarıyer
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Sarıyer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor squeezed past Sarıyer 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 20% / 41% — and on the day GMG Kastamonuspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

On the day, GMG Kastamonuspor had 48% of the ball to Sarıyer's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Sarıyer?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 Sarıyer in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Sarıyer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 39%, draw 20%, Sarıyer 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sarıyer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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