Atletico Mineiro 4-1 Manaus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.16
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
82%
-24.5pp
26%
Draw
13%
+13.4pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.6pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Manaus EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.60/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.50
-7% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
461 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
21.7 Crosses 5.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
4-1
AWAY Manaus
2.79 xG 0.08
76% Ball Possession 24%
33 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
593 Passes 96
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Manaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro ran out comfortable winners over Manaus 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 76% of the ball to Manaus's 24%, shots finished 33-4, expected goals 2.79 to 0.08.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Manaus?

Atletico Mineiro 4-1 Manaus in the Brazil - Cup on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Manaus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 57%, draw 26%, Manaus 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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