Caxias vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Caxias v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Caxias 1-2 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Caxias 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.63, about 61%.
By the numbers, Fluminense saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.00 to 2.11.
Caxias vs Fluminense Result & Final Score
Caxias 1 - 2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Caxias vs Fluminense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Caxias 12%, draw 22%, Fluminense 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.