Caxias vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caxias v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Caxias 1-2 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Caxias 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Caxias had 40% of the ball to Fluminense's 60%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.00 to 2.11.
What was the final score of Caxias vs Fluminense?
Caxias 1-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caxias vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Caxias 22%, draw 26%, Fluminense 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.