Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nova Iguaçu v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
3-2
HT 1-0
Nova Iguaçu
BRC1
2-2
HT 1-1
Vasco da Gama
BRC1
5-1
HT 4-1
Nova Iguaçu
BRC1
Nova Iguaçu 0-3 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama ran out comfortable winners over Nova Iguaçu 3-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Nova Iguaçu had 34% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 66%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.21 to 1.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nova Iguaçu and 2.40 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama?
Nova Iguaçu 0-3 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nova Iguaçu 31%, draw 20%, Vasco da Gama 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.