CS Herediano 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.37/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.94
+1% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.1 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
14.03.2013 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano CON
08.03.2013 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-0
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.82 xG 0.71
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
224 Passes 431
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano squeezed past Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; CS Herediano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 37% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 63%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.82 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CS Herediano and 2.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

CS Herediano 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 38%, draw 29%, Los Angeles Galaxy 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
6 Mar 2025
04:30 Guadalajara vs Club America Analysis →
06:30 Vancouver Whitecaps vs Monterrey Analysis →
06:30 Seattle Sounders vs Cruz Azul Analysis →