Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 37%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.15
+61% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
12.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1
AWAY Monterrey
2.04 xG 0.18
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
494 Passes 237
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
46 Box Touches 6
35 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps and Monterrey couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 65% of the ball to Monterrey's 35%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.04 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Monterrey?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Monterrey in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 35%, draw 31%, Monterrey 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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