Guadalajara 1-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +74%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
Crosses 11.9
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Club America
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.67 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 426
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 1-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
19.05.2024 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
16.05.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
17.03.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
14.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-3 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara CON
07.03.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
1-0
AWAY Club America
0.12 xG 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
2 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 456
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara squeezed past Club America 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guadalajara had 40% of the ball to Club America's 60%, shots finished 2-17, expected goals 0.12 to 1.17 — on chances, Club America could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Club America.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Club America?

Guadalajara 1-0 Club America in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 38%, draw 29%, Club America 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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