Club America vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-3
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
Club America 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Club America squeezed past Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Club America had 51% of the ball to Guadalajara's 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.01 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Club America vs Guadalajara?
Club America 1-0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club America 48%, draw 24%, Guadalajara 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.