Guadalajara 0-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 51%
-20% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.96/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.06
-39% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.7 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Club America
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.98 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-3 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara CON
07.03.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America CON
17.09.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 2-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
22.05.2023 Club America Club America 1-3 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
19.05.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
19.03.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-4 HT 0-3 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
0-0
AWAY Club America
0.60 xG 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
271 Passes 520
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara and Club America fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guadalajara had 38% of the ball to Club America's 62%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.60 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 2.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Club America?

Guadalajara 0-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 32%, draw 25%, Club America 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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