Tigres UANL 5-1 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
1.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.69
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
24.1 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Mazatlan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.09 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
383 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-3 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
09.04.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 0-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
09.07.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
07.02.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-3 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
21.08.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
14.03.2021 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
5-1
AWAY Mazatlan
1.99 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
478 Passes 312
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL ran out comfortable winners over Mazatlan 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 58% of the ball to Mazatlan's 42%, shots finished 19-21, expected goals 1.99 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.50 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan?

Tigres UANL 5-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 46%, draw 28%, Mazatlan 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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