Leon vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leon v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leon 2-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Leon nicked a narrow win over Puebla 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Puebla saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 2.58 to 1.18 — on chances created, Leon won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puebla led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Leon against 1.50 for Puebla.
Leon vs Puebla Result & Final Score
Leon 2 - 1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leon vs Puebla Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Leon 67%, draw 19%, Puebla 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.