Sepahan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.99/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.65
+36% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
5 Corners 7
02.01.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
05.10.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
06.05.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
27.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.08.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan and Esteghlal Khuzestan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sepahan carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sepahan and 0.67 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Sepahan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 64%, draw 25%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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