Venados 4-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.94/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.35
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
5 Corners 9
28.09.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
11.01.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
30.08.2023 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.03.2023 Venados Venados 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
21.01.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
FAQ Venados vs CD Tapatio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Venados beat CD Tapatio 4-2 in the Mexico - Primera A on 6 Mar 2025. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venados and 0.83 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Venados vs CD Tapatio?

Venados 4-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Venados 43%, draw 32%, CD Tapatio 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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