CD Tapatio 2-2 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.12/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.52
-29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Venados
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
9 Corners 5
11.01.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
30.08.2023 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.03.2023 Venados Venados 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
21.01.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
18.11.2021 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
FAQ CD Tapatio vs Venados
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CD Tapatio and Venados shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Mexico - Primera A on 28 Sep 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.17 for Venados.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Venados?

CD Tapatio 2-2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 50%, draw 26%, Venados 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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