CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA La Paz v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals
CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-3
HT 2-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
4-2
HT 2-2
CA La Paz
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia squeezed past CA La Paz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was CA La Paz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA La Paz and 2.50 for Monarcas Morelia.
What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia?
CA La Paz 0-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Monarcas Morelia?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 44%, draw 24%, Monarcas Morelia 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.