Hibernians FC 2-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
02.03.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
2-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC beat Naxxar Lions 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hibernians FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 51% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 49%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Hibernians FC 2-0 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - FA Cup on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 50%, draw 24%, Naxxar Lions 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ BTTS No
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