Al Kholood 2-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.74
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
6+ Goals
17%
9.54
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 45%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.70/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.20
+92% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.0 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
295 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
20.10.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
2-1
AWAY Al Fateh
2.01 xG 1.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 319
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Fateh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Al Kholood made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Kholood had 44% of the ball to Al Fateh's 56%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.01 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Fateh?

Al Kholood 2-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 39%, draw 22%, Al Fateh 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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