Al Wehda 3-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.14
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.1 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Raed
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.62 xG 0.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
16.05.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
02.12.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.02.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
01.09.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.02.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
3-1
AWAY Al Raed
3.36 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda beat Al Raed 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Wehda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 47% of the ball to Al Raed's 53%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.36 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Wehda and 1.50 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Raed?

Al Wehda 3-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 34%, draw 29%, Al Raed 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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