Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Mar 2026

Chengdu Qianbao
5-1 HT 3-1
Shenzhen FC
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Chengdu Qianbao vs Shenzhen FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.7
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
17.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
3.88
X/2
5%
13.7
X/X
8%
6.41
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
8%
11.35
2/X
5%
19.6
Value flag · X/1 at 3.88 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.5pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chengdu Qianbao v Shenzhen FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.08/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.81
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
27.3 Crosses 15.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Chengdu Qianbao vs Shenzhen FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.89 xG 0.56
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
429 Passes 288
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
25.06.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 5-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
09.08.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
20.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 HT 1-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
23.10.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
29.06.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL

Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 Shenzhen FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
5-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
4.34 xG 0.61
79% Ball Possession 21%
29 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 4
576 Passes 107
89% Pass Accuracy 59%
52 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao ran out comfortable winners over Shenzhen FC 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 79% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 21%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 4.34 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.33 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shenzhen FC?

Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 67%, draw 17%, Shenzhen FC 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5
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