Shenzhen FC 0-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.6
1/2
4%
23.15
1/X
6%
17.5
X/1
7%
11.9
X/2 EV+ ✗
28%
3.68
X/X
13%
5.54
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.9
2/X
9%
16.6
Value flag · X/2 at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.24
-83% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -49%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
12.9 Crosses 18.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.63 xG 2.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
262 Passes 387
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 HT 1-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
23.10.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
29.06.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.06.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
04.06.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
0-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.26 xG 2.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
373 Passes 387
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao swept aside Shenzhen FC 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 49% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 51%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.26 to 2.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shenzhen FC and 2.40 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shenzhen FC 0-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 18%, draw 28%, Chengdu Qianbao 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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