Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Aug 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3-1 HT 0-1
Shandong Taishan
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shandong Taishan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.61
6+ Goals
7%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 30% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.35
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
4%
8.28
X/2
21%
4.21
X/X
15%
4.71
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.45
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.8
Value flag · 2/X at 13.8 — our 9% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
24%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Shandong Taishan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 55%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.97
-7% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
13.8 Crosses 24.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shandong Taishan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 2.37
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 513
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-1 HT 3-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
13.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-0 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
14.05.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
30.11.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-3 HT 0-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
12.08.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
11.08.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-1 Shandong Taishan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.62 xG 1.02
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
537 Passes 201
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions saw off Shandong Taishan 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shandong Taishan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 69% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 31%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.62 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 2.50 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shandong Taishan?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 19%, draw 31%, Shandong Taishan 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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