St. Pölten 4-0 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Mar 2026

St. Pölten
4-0 HT 2-0
Rapid Wien II
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.15
X/1
23%
4.07
X/2
6%
10.7
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.95
2/2
8%
8.42
2/X
4%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.8pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Rapid Wien II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
2.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.72
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.0 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
16.05.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
22.11.2024 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
04.06.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
29.07.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-5 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.11.2021 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten cruised past Rapid Wien II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St. Pölten and 0.33 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II?

St. Pölten 4-0 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 62%, draw 18%, Rapid Wien II 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
6 Mar 2026
20:00 FC Liefering vs Bregenz Analysis →
20:00 Floridsdorfer AC vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →
20:00 Amstetten vs Austria Salzburg Analysis →
20:00 Austria Lustenau vs First Vienna Analysis →