FC Liefering 4-3 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
16%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.45
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.68
X/2
8%
8.03
X/X
8%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.1
2/2
11%
5.62
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
2.07/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.47
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 65%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
24.7 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.66 xG 0.78
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
392 Passes 125
77% Pass Accuracy 55%
32 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Bregenz Bregenz 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
01.03.2025 Bregenz Bregenz 3-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
16.08.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-2 HT 1-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
08.03.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
18.08.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering nicked a narrow win over Bregenz 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for FC Liefering and 1.80 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Bregenz?

FC Liefering 4-3 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 55%, draw 21%, Bregenz 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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