Aalborg 0-1 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.15
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
10%
5.17
X/2
13%
6.36
X/X
8%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
16%
4.33
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.98/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.71
+58% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
17.0 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.82 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
478 Passes 388
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-1 HT 4-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
0-1
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.76 xG 2.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
348 Passes 406
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad nicked a narrow win over Aalborg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aalborg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aalborg had 47% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 53%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 0.76 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aarhus Fremad's control.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?

Aalborg 0-1 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 44%, draw 22%, Aarhus Fremad 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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