HB Koge 0-1 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 6 Mar 2026

HB Koge
0-1 HT 0-0
Esbjerg
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

HB Koge vs Esbjerg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.22
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
31%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.52
1/2
9%
22.25
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
9%
7.0
X/2
12%
5.22
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
21%
2.87
2/X
8%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.5pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Esbjerg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.40/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.73
-6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.5 Crosses 21.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

HB Koge vs Esbjerg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
316 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-2 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
28.02.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
24.08.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 4-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
07.05.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 2-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
23.04.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
19.11.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 3-0 HT 3-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1

HB Koge 0-1 Esbjerg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-1
AWAY Esbjerg
1.38 xG 1.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
353 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 28
32 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg squeezed past HB Koge 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 58% of the ball to Esbjerg's 42%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.38 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HB Koge and 1.67 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Esbjerg?

HB Koge 0-1 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 33%, draw 25%, Esbjerg 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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