Alfreton Town 0-0 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +30%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.15
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
25.02.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
07.02.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
26.04.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.12.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
04.12.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
0-0
AWAY Curzon Ashton
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 50% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 50%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.33 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Alfreton Town 0-0 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 37%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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