Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Feb 2024

Curzon Ashton
2-1 HT 2-1
Alfreton Town
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.47
6+ Goals
6%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Curzon Ashton v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
0.99/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.38
-27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
07.02.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
26.04.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.12.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
04.12.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
05.10.2020 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON

Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
2-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton nicked a narrow win over Alfreton Town 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 40% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 60%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Curzon Ashton and 2.00 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?

Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 37%, draw 28%, Alfreton Town 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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