Southport 1-2 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.04/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.11
-23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 5-1 HT 3-1 Southport Southport İCON
18.04.2023 Southport Southport 1-3 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.10.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Southport Southport İCON
23.04.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
05.10.2021 Southport Southport 3-2 HT 1-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town FAK
02.10.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
1-2
AWAY Spennymoor Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southport vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past Southport 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Spennymoor Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Southport had 49% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 51%, shots finished 15-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southport and 1.83 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Southport vs Spennymoor Town?

Southport 1-2 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southport 38%, draw 26%, Spennymoor Town 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southport) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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