Maidstone United 3-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Feb 2024

Maidstone United
3-2 HT 1-1
Torquay United
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Maidstone United vs Torquay United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidstone United v Torquay United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.97/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/3.02
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Maidstone United vs Torquay United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK
07.10.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
28.01.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
27.08.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
09.11.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
10.03.2018 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL

Maidstone United 3-2 Torquay United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
3-2
AWAY Torquay United
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Torquay United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 52% of the ball to Torquay United's 48%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidstone United and 0.17 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Torquay United?

Maidstone United 3-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 43%, draw 26%, Torquay United 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5
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