Blyth Spartans 1-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Feb 2024

Blyth Spartans
1-1 HT 0-0
Scunthorpe United
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Blyth Spartans vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 26% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blyth Spartans v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.08/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.88
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blyth Spartans and Scunthorpe United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Scunthorpe United?

Blyth Spartans 1-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 23%, draw 33%, Scunthorpe United 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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