Eastbourne Borough 1-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.27
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 3-1 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
01.04.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
08.10.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 5-1 HT 3-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
08.02.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
29.10.2019 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
04.04.2009 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-0
AWAY Weymouth
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough squeezed past Weymouth 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Weymouth at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 56% of the ball to Weymouth's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.17 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Weymouth?

Eastbourne Borough 1-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weymouth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 33%, draw 25%, Weymouth 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weymouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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