Havant & Waterlooville 1-2 Dartford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dartford EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.89/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
+23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havant & Waterlooville
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dartford
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Dartford Dartford 2-0 HT 1-0 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
14.12.2022 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 1-3 HT 0-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
16.08.2022 Dartford Dartford 1-2 HT 1-1 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
19.03.2022 Dartford Dartford 1-1 HT 1-1 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
09.02.2022 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 0-1 HT 0-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
31.10.2020 Dartford Dartford 2-1 HT 0-0 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Dartford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dartford nicked a narrow win over Havant & Waterlooville 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Dartford made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dartford led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Havant & Waterlooville and 1.67 for Dartford.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Dartford?

Havant & Waterlooville 1-2 Dartford in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Dartford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 39%, draw 25%, Dartford 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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