Scarborough Athletic 1-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +30%
1.23/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.10
-8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.01.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
18.02.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
29.10.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-2 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic and Spennymoor Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 46% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 54%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.67 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town?

Scarborough Athletic 1-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 37%, draw 30%, Spennymoor Town 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
6 Apr 2024
17:00 Banbury United vs Kings Lynn Town Analysis →
17:00 Yeovil vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
17:00 Havant & Waterlooville vs Dartford Analysis →
17:00 Farnborough vs Maidstone United Analysis →
17:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree Town Analysis →