Scunthorpe United 4-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.61/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.84
-14% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Hereford FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
02.12.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
17.03.2009 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-0 HT 2-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İN1
20.09.2008 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
4-1
AWAY Hereford FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United ran out comfortable winners over Hereford FC 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 52% of the ball to Hereford FC's 48%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Scunthorpe United and 0.67 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Hereford FC?

Scunthorpe United 4-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 51%, draw 23%, Hereford FC 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Over 2.5
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