St. Albans City 0-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 29% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +30%
1.90/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.12
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.10.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
01.04.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
08.10.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-1 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
25.01.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
04.09.2021 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
31.10.2020 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-0 HT 2-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
0-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town squeezed past St. Albans City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was St. Albans City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Albans City had 61% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 39%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Albans City and 1.17 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Chippenham Town?

St. Albans City 0-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 47%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Albans City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Under 2.5
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