Airdrieonians 3-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.71
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
17%
5.41
X/X
9%
4.13
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.33/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.02.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.12.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
30.09.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
21.05.2021 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
18.05.2021 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK1
15.05.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK1
FAQ Airdrieonians vs Greenock Morton
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Airdrieonians beat Greenock Morton 3-1 in the Scotland - Championship on 6 Apr 2024. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Airdrieonians and 1.00 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Greenock Morton?

Airdrieonians 3-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 37%, draw 26%, Greenock Morton 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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