Östersunds FK 1-0 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.2
X/2
8%
7.79
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.15
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.65/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.59
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
563 Passes 312
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-2 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
15.05.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
22.10.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
19.04.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
05.11.2018 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
21.07.2018 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-1 HT 4-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK edged past Trelleborgs FF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Östersunds FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Östersunds FK and 0.83 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Trelleborgs FF?

Östersunds FK 1-0 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 46%, draw 29%, Trelleborgs FF 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östersunds FK), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
6 Apr 2024
16:00 Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall Analysis →
16:00 Varbergs vs Östers Analysis →
16:00 Sandvikens IF vs Örebro Analysis →